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2nd Amend. Litigation Updates & Legal Discussion Discuss California 2A related litigation and legal topics here. All advice given is NOT legal counsel.

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  #6761  
Old 01-29-2024, 1:01 PM
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RickD427 RickD427 is online now
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Originally Posted by BAJ475 View Post
The plaintiffs should have told the 3 judge panel to issue what ever decision they choose, so that the other side could seek an "en banc" rehearing so that Miller and Duncan could be consolidated and heard at the same time; because we know that the matter will not be resolved until it gets to SCOTUS.
I think that Judge Miller worked it the other way, and to the same end. He telegraphed, about as strongly as he could, that Miller needed to be heard jointly with Duncan.

I strongly suspect that the en banc panel will rule against Ms. Duncan. In every other circuit, the simple fact that the court votes for an en banc rehearing infers that the panel decision will not stand unless enough of the "for" voting judges are persuaded to change their minds following the arguments. The Ninth is a little different because the composition of the eleven judge panel may not fully reflect the voting composition of the court.

If Ms. Duncan should lose at the rehearing, the case is gonna go to the Supreme Court. If she prevails, I'm no so sure that the state would pursue an appeal. I can see Mr. Bonta having his arm twisted by other Attorneys General to refrain so as not to upset the state of the law in other circuits.
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  #6762  
Old 01-29-2024, 1:37 PM
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Originally Posted by RickD427 View Post
I think that Judge Miller worked it the other way, and to the same end. He telegraphed, about as strongly as he could, that Miller needed to be heard jointly with Duncan.

I strongly suspect that the en banc panel will rule against Ms. Duncan. In every other circuit, the simple fact that the court votes for an en banc rehearing infers that the panel decision will not stand unless enough of the "for" voting judges are persuaded to change their minds following the arguments. The Ninth is a little different because the composition of the eleven judge panel may not fully reflect the voting composition of the court.

If Ms. Duncan should lose at the rehearing, the case is gonna go to the Supreme Court. If she prevails, I'm not so sure that the state would pursue an appeal. I can see Mr. Bonta having his arm twisted by other Attorneys General to refrain so as not to upset the state of the law in other circuits.
As usual, we agree. If Duncan prevails, it would pretty much tie the hands of the Miller panel and would help the other 2A cases pending in CA and the 9th Circuit. Thus, I will be shocked if Duncan prevails.
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  #6763  
Old 01-29-2024, 3:00 PM
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The Ninth Circuit will deny the en banc rehearing request because this instance would benefit Second Amendment plaintiffs, as opposed to gun control proponents.

The Supreme Court remains the only institution with the power to unjam this mess, but Chief Justice John Roberts and at least one of the other Republican appointees lack the fortitude.
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  #6764  
Old 01-29-2024, 3:00 PM
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Originally Posted by BAJ475 View Post
As usual, we agree. If Duncan prevails, it would pretty much tie the hands of the Miller panel and would help the other 2A cases pending in CA and the 9th Circuit. Thus, I will be shocked if Duncan prevails.
The Ninth Circuit en banc panel did not seize control of Duncan v. Bonta away from the 3-judge panel to decide in favor of the Second Amendment. In fact, I expect even more dishonest machinations such as further remands.
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  #6765  
Old 01-29-2024, 3:31 PM
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Is there anyway for the plaintiffs to petition to merge Miller with Duncan?
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  #6766  
Old 01-29-2024, 5:02 PM
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The Ninth Circuit will deny the en banc rehearing request because this instance would benefit Second Amendment plaintiffs, as opposed to gun control proponents.
AWB cases are headed to SCOTUS from the 2nd, 4th, 7th, 10th, etc. The 9th not taking it en banc will not have any effect on this.
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  #6767  
Old 01-29-2024, 10:25 PM
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Is there anyway for the plaintiffs to petition to merge Miller with Duncan?
They can petition to have pink flamingos served for lunch.
It's about as likely to occur as combining the two cases.

The two cases are contesting completely different PC so it's extremely unlikely they would ever be combined.

Flamingos for lunch is more likely.
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  #6768  
Old 01-30-2024, 8:35 AM
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They can petition to have pink flamingos served for lunch.
It's about as likely to occur as combining the two cases.

The two cases are contesting completely different PC so it's extremely unlikely they would ever be combined.

Flamingos for lunch is more likely.
MMMM deep fried. Like my 2A rights...
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  #6769  
Old 01-30-2024, 3:00 PM
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AWB cases are headed to SCOTUS from the 2nd, 4th, 7th, 10th, etc. The 9th not taking it en banc will not have any effect on this.
I understand, but the Fourth and Ninth Circuit Courts of Appeals have both successfully carried out a strategy of delay that have guaranteed none of the assault weapons ban cases will gain the procedural posture necessary for Supreme Court review until mid-2025, or even late-2025.

I see no indication that the other left-wing circuits will choose a different path.
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