Quote:
Originally Posted by Herodotus
No. On the 15th we find out if SCOTUS agrees to hear the case. If they take the case expect a ruling in June of 2014.
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For those who haven't had a chance to follow this from the beginning...
The 7th Circuit has ruled IL no-issue unconstitutional in Moore v. Madigan. After they refused an en-banc hearing, the only option left to Madigan is to petition SCOTUS since the appellate process is otherwise complete. This ruling already establishes the "bear" part and is in itself a huge victory for us. It also all but guarantees that SCOTUS will have to take Kachalsky since this ruling is inconsistent with the 2nd Circuit ruling in Kachalsky. In other words, if SCOTUS grants the certiorari we are at the very last step in defining "bear," which has already been clearly implied in Heller. If SCOTUS doesn't grant the cert, we keep the "bear" ruling in the 7th Circuit.
Now, there are other technical details and possibilities, but a simple analysis at this time points to "heads we win, tails they lose." The real question is the scope of the ruling and permissible restrictions, which we won't know until 2014 at the earliest. Let Feinstein waste her time with silly frontal attack that will go nowhere, while we work the flanks with heavy artillery that will set the precedent for a long time to come.